Pages

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Criticizing Vegas: Current Stanley Cup Odds

Bovada sure has an interesting take on who is and isn't a good team in hockey. Here are their Stanley Cup odds for the 2013-14 season:

6/1: Chicago
13/2: Pittsburgh
10/1: Boston
12/1: Los Angeles, St. Louis
16/1: Detroit, Vancouver
18/1: San Jose
20/1: Edmonton, Minnesota, NY Rangers
22/1: Anaheim
25/1: Montreal, Toronto, Washington
28/1: Philadelphia
33/1: NY Islanders, Ottawa
40/1: Carolina, Colorado, Columbus, Dallas, New Jersey
50/1: Nashville, Tampa Bay, Winnipeg
66/1: Phoenix
100/1: Buffalo, Calgary, Florida

Based on this list, I can give you three good value bets for this coming season: Anaheim, Ottawa, and the Islanders. The Ducks are my #1 best value bet on this list. Why? They're loaded offensively. This is their deepest set of forwards since their Cup-winning 2007 squad. They aren't spectacular on the backend, but they're good enough to be considered a contender. I believe that their goaltending tandem of Jonas Hiller and Viktor Fasth will continue to succeed this season. Other undervalued teams are Phoenix, Dallas, Columbus, and Winnipeg. I'm not saying that any of these teams have a great chance to win the Stanley Cup, but based on their odds they're definitely being underestimated.

I can also give you three (there are more, but I'm trying not to be too mean here) teams to completely avoid: Edmonton, Washington, and Philadelphia. Who's my #1 team to avoid? The Oilers. Washington is another team that you should stay away from (at least at 25/1... I'd take them at 40/1 maybe), but at least the Caps have a competent defense and Alex Ovechkin. The Oilers have a scary good top six but not much else. I'd give 20/1 odds that the Oilers make the playoffs, much less win the Cup. Other teams who I think are overvalued are Vancouver, Toronto, and Montreal. I really don't think any of them are as good as their odds would suggest.

No comments:

Post a Comment