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Showing posts with label hurricanes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label hurricanes. Show all posts

Saturday, November 2, 2013

October Report Cards, Part 1



Note: Records are prior to games on November 1st.

Anaheim Ducks (10-3-1)
Grade: B+
It's nothing short of a miracle that Anaheim has notched 21 of a possible 28 points with their special teams being this bad. They cannot sustain this streak if the power play and penalty kill continue to falter. I don't care how good their other metrics are, when you don't punish teams for committing penalties and don't bail yourself out when shorthanded, you're not going to see long-term success.

Boston Bruins (8-4-0)
Grade: B+
An uncharacteristically sloppy penalty kill is the story here. Boston is getting enough goal scoring and playing stellar defense as usual, but that PK needs a boost. Patrice Bergeron and Brad Marchand are off to slow starts, but the slack has been picked up by David Krejci (11 assists) and Milan Lucic (12 points) thus far. They suffered a tough loss to Pittsburgh the other night but rebounded nicely in a shootout win over Anaheim.

Buffalo Sabres (2-12-1)
Grade: F
I really didn't want to give this team an F simply because this is a rebuilding year and many correctly pegged this team to be the worst in hockey, but after scanning their stats I couldn't justify giving them a better score. If the PK were in the top ten I probably would've bumped them to a D- on the grounds that they were doing something right. However, 82%, while serviceable, isn't anything to celebrate. Trading Thomas Vanek for Matt Moulson was a complete fleece job by Darcy Regier as he continues to stockpile picks.

Calgary Flames (5-5-2)
Grade: B-
Was going to give them a higher grade until I saw the defense and special teams. Make no mistake, their record is still a surprise to me (hence the probably inflated B-), but it's a far cry from their hot start in the first few games. Sean Monahan has been the catalyst for this group, though he's disappeared a bit in their last few outings. They need to get him going again. They also need to figure out the goaltending situation, because the committee so far hasn't gotten it done.

Carolina Hurricanes (4-5-3)
Grade: D+
They should thank the rest of the Metropolitan Division (sans Pittsburgh) for being so putrid this season, because somehow the 4-5-3 Hurricanes are in second place. Nobody has reached double digit points yet and only four players have a plus rating. The goaltending has quite literally been a three-ring circus, with Cam Ward and Justin Peters faltering while Anton Khudobin has been sharp. Khudobin's on IR now though, so Ward and Peters have to play better... Ward especially, since he's the starter.

Chicago Blackhawks (8-2-3)
Grade: B+
They're scoring, they're converting on the power play, and they're getting a lot of pucks to the net. Defense has been an adventure so far, though, with the NHL's worst PK not helping matters. You can only mask bad defense with good offense for so long, but if the Hawks are driving possession and applying a solid forecheck, the penalty kill numbers will come up some.

Colorado Avalanche (10-1-0)
Grade: A
This team was doing everything right until Semyon Varlamov turned himself in to police amid charges of kidnapping and domestic violence. Backup Jean-Sebastien Giguere has been great so far, so it looks like the Avs will be alright for the time being in net. Who would've thought they'd be 10-1 through the first month and that it would be the defense that got them there? The trade that brought in Max Talbot will only help them continue to be solid in their own end.

Columbus Blue Jackets (5-6-0)
Grade: C
The Blue Jackets look like a team that is just trying to stem the tide right now. They're still without Nathan Horton for the foreseeable future so they will be missing a major offensive weapon going forward, but even at 5-6 they're right in the thick of it in the Metropolitan Division, where they sit in 4th place. They have to improve the special teams and find some more scoring, but if they're above .500 when Horton comes back, look out.

Dallas Stars (5-6-1)
Grade: D+
Given the fact that the Central Division has delivered in terms of being iffy in the middle, the last-place Stars don't deserve any better of a grade. They're 1-2-1 against their division rivals thus far and that will not get it done. They've been the model of mediocrity to this point in the NHL and have to improve in all areas of the game if they want to climb up the mountain. I believe it's an issue of depth with this team, as they simply don't have enough on the wings or on defense.

Detroit Red Wings (7-4-2)
Grade: C+
Let me put it this way: this team is not trending in the right direction. The offense has not produced, they've gotten almost nothing from Stephen Weiss so far, and the special teams have been meh. Defensively, they've been good enough to have a winning record, but again the scoring isn't there. Detroit has just 20 points from its defensemen so far, led by Niklas Kronwall with eight. They need more from the backend.

Edmonton Oilers (3-9-2)
Grade: F
This team has been a complete trainwreck after such high hopes to begin the year. Taylor Hall is hurt, Nail Yakupov has been nonexistent, the defense has continued to suck as only they can, and the special teams continue to not produce. This squad is doing nothing well right now. Mark Arcobello is off to a nice start with 10 assists, but when he's tied for your team's lead in scoring, there are serious issues that need to be addressed.

Florida Panthers (3-7-2)
Grade: F
This grade is another case of me wanting to be soft on a team that everyone knew was bad preseason but being unable to justify it. The Panthers have been absolutely brutal so far. Tim Thomas has not been healthy and it's been clear that his body isn't in playing shape yet. Brad Boyes has slowed down, Jonathan Huberdeau hasn't gotten untracked yet and Shawn Matthias is struggling. They need more from their best players.

Los Angeles Kings (9-5-0)
Grade: B
They're currently sitting in fifth place in the stacked Pacific Division, but that's no reason to count the Kings out. Aside from their goal scoring, they've been solid overall. Anze Kopitar is off to a great start and the defense has both kept them in and won games. They'd like to see an increase across the board; these are not the numbers of a Stanley Cup contender. However, they don't need to be yet, that can wait until the playoffs.

Minnesota Wild (6-4-3)
Grade: B-
I can't figure this team out. They aren't scoring, but have a great power play. The defense has been stingy, but the penalty kill has been a sieve. Josh Harding has played admirably in net so far, but this team needs Nicklas Backstrom to be healthy and playing his best hockey if they're going to improve upon their success from a season ago. Also, where has Dany Heatley been? Has anyone seen him?

Montreal Canadiens (8-5-0)
Grade: B+
With the statistics that they've put up across the board, Montreal should probably have a better record than they do. They're trending in the right direction, but they need to get more pucks to the net. It's going to be tough to maintain such a low goals against average, so the more they can help out the goaltending by driving possession, the better off they'll be.

Thursday, September 5, 2013

30 Teams, 30 Days - Carolina Hurricanes








The Carolina Hurricanes were sitting pretty on top of the now-defunct Southeast Division on March 3rd. They entered the second half of their home and home with the Florida Panthers at 11-8-1, leading their weak division on the back of a hot offense. However, in that game against Florida, Cam Ward suffered a season-ending injury. The Canes never recovered after winning that game, going 7-17-3 the rest of the way and finishing well out of the playoffs. There were other injuries as well, Jeff Skinner went down for a while as did most of their defensemen. Their awful end to the season has made many people forget about the way they started, which means expectations will be low on Tobacco Road; just the way they like them. Carolina got bigger and stronger on defense this offseason, signing Mike Komisarek and trading for Andrej Sekera. They also signed Aaron Palushaj and Nathan Gerbe to bolster their forward unit. This year, playing in a tougher division, Carolina is out to prove they can win with their current roster.

Projected Forward Lines:

Jiri Tlusty - Eric Staal - Alexander Semin
Jeff Skinner - Jordan Staal - Patrick Dwyer
Tuomo Ruutu - Elias Lindholm - Nathan Gerbe
Zac Dalpe - Riley Nash - Drayson Bowman
Kevin Westgarth - Aaron Palushaj

Without a doubt, this team can score goals and they do so in bunches. The top six can go toe to toe with most teams in the NHL and the bottom half features some intriguing players. Rookie Elias Lindholm will be given every opportunity to make the team and play big minutes. He is ready for the NHL and should have a productive maiden voyage through the 82-game slate. The Staal brothers will once again lead the attack and with players who can put the puck in the net like Tlusty, Skinner, and Semin, the duo figure to have a large assist total by season's end. The fourth line is more of an energy line that is still developing, and they can always play Westgarth for his solid enforcer skills and gain an added edge. It could also help to discourage opposing teams from taking runs at the star players, and perhaps they will be healthier for it. The one question I have about this group centers around whether or not they can play well enough defensively to help Ward. It will be something to keep an eye on early in the season.

Projected Defensive Pairings:

Tim Gleason - Justin Faulk
Joni Pitkanen - Andrej Sekera
Mike Komisarek - Jay Harrison
Brett Bellemore

After shedding their purely offensive defensemen when they traded Jamie McBain and let Joe Corvo and Marc-Andre Bergeron walk in free agency, the Canes went with more defensively responsible players in Sekera and Komisarek. Gleason is still the leader on the backend, and Faulk will see more ice time now that he's on the top pairing. Unlike the forward group, the defense corps is not very deep. The rash of injuries that destroyed their defense last season cannot happen again if they want to contend for a playoff spot. Carolina was 29th in goals against last season, and while losing multiple top defensemen and Ward had a hand in that, they still have to play better in 2013-14.

Goaltending:

Cam Ward
Anton Khudobin

Carolina ended its revolving door situation at the #2 goaltender spot when they signed Anton Khudobin to back up Ward. Khudobin is 14-5-1 in 21 games in the NHL, with a 2.03 GAA and a .933 save percentage for his career. He will no longer have the benefit of playing with Boston's top-notch defense in front of him, so this season presents a new challenge and opportunity for him. If he excels in Carolina, he could parlay that into a starting job elsewhere once the season ends, thanks to his one-year contract. Cam Ward will make his return to the starting job after last season ended with an injury. He was a rookie back in 2006 when he took over for Martin Gerber in the playoffs and led them to the Stanley Cup and hopes to recapture that success. He and Eric Staal are the only players on the roster who were on that championship team, so they more than anyone know how to win in Raleigh.

Special Teams:

With so many talented offensive players, it seems a bit off that Carolina finished 27th on the power play last season (14.7%). That number should rise to at least the league average (18.1%), if not higher, barring injuries. Having better all-around defensemen will also help prevent them from allowing shorthanded goals. Carolina allowed four last season, which was tied for 7th-most. It's certain that Faulk and Pitkanen will quarterback the two units, but given the rest of their defensemen the Canes might consider going with four forwards on one or both units to increase scoring. The penalty kill was equally bad last year, finishing 28th in the league with a lowly 77.6% kill rate. Carolina won the penalty battle with opponents a season ago, finishing +4 in total special teams chances. This is a reasonably disciplined team overall, so expect the Canes to be smart about their style of play and not take dumb penalties in key situations.

X-Factor:

The key to this team's success is without a doubt the defense. They were both bad and prone to injury last season. The overall makeup looks different this year, with Sekera and Komisarek providing responsibility in their own zone. A season ago the Canes had too many defensemen who were focused on offense and it showed. Health is potentially a bigger concern than talent level here; for all their shortcomings last season, it was more troubling that so many of them missed action. Gleason missed six games last year, Faulk missed ten, and Pitkanen missed 26. The silver lining with the injuries is that a number of fresh faces saw time in the NHL, but none of them other than Bellemore figures to be a factor this season.

The Hurricanes will make the playoffs if...

... the defense plays much better and stays healthy, Cam Ward is lights out in net, and the offense produces better than it did last season. Make no mistake, the Canes have an uphill battle in the Metropolitan Division. The Penguins, Rangers, and Islanders all appear strong this season, and with other playoff hopefuls in Columbus, Philadelphia, and Washington, it seems that Carolina has their work cut out for them. However, they proved that when healthy, they can play with the big boys, as evidenced by their fast start last season. Their record might not reflect the quality of play this year, since they see teams like Pittsburgh and the two New York squads more often, but the Hurricanes are not to be written off. They will figure in the playoff discussion in some form this year.

The Hurricanes will miss the playoffs if...

... there are more injuries to the defense, the offense struggles, and there are a number of mistakes in their own end. Pitkanen may not be ready for opening night, as he is still recovering from the broken ankle he suffered near the end of last season. If he can't go, Carolina would have to look to the free agent market or possibly make a trade. Ron Hainsey, Ian White, and Ryan Whitney are still out there waiting to be signed. None of them are truly ideal options for Carolina, but in this particular situation beggars can't be choosers. Losing Pitkanen for an extended period would severely hinder the power play and would leave them with few options in terms of puck moving defensemen, and that spells trouble for their playoff hopes.